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Mercedes-Benz Q3 profitability impacted by market dynamics while preserving solid cash generation

Itumeleng Garebatshabe
Last updated: October 31, 2024 16:44
By Itumeleng Garebatshabe
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  • Performance: Solid sales for Mercedes-Benz Cars and Vans. Mercedes-Benz Cars profitability impacted by subdued macro environment and fierce competition. Mercedes-Benz Vans continued to deliver good results. Mercedes-Benz Mobility navigated challenging market conditions.
  • Capital Allocation: Strong cash generation continued. Share buyback cash outs reach €4.3 billion year-to-date.
  • Outlook: Group outlook on EBIT and Free Cash Flow remains in line with September 19th update.

Mercedes-Benz Group AG generated solid sales in the third quarter despite product transitions, a challenging market environment and fierce competition, particularly in China. Continued Free Cash Flow generation from the industrial business reached €2.39 billion for Q3 (Q3 2023: €2.35 billion) supported by favourable working capital development. Net liquidity reached €28.73 billion (Q3 2023: €28.49 billion).

Contents
Divisional resultsOutlook

“The Q3 results do not meet our ambitions. Nonetheless Mercedes-Benz continues to generate solid cash flows even in challenging times. We are taking a prudent view about market evolution going forward and we will step up all efforts on further efficiency increases and cost improvements across the business.” 
Harald Wilhelm, Chief Financial Officer of Mercedes-Benz Group AG  

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Divisional results

For Mercedes-Benz Cars weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia, outweighed improved product availability leading to adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) of €1.2 billion (Q3 2023: €3.4 billion). As previously announced in September, Q3 EBIT was weaker compared with the second quarter due to softer net pricing and a less favourable sales mix, leading to an adjusted Return on Sales (RoS) of 4.7% in the quarter. In addition to tougher market conditions, the Q3 sales mix was also impacted by product transitions, for example the all-new ICE and BEV versions of the G-Class, which will be available in major markets in Q4.

The adjusted Return on Sales (RoS) for Mercedes-Benz Vans was below the previous year with 13.5% (Q3 2023: 15%), driven by lower sales and in line with expectations. A healthy sales mix supported by improved product substance partially compensated lower sales volumes. Furthermore, cost improvements continued.  

The adjusted EBIT for Mercedes-Benz Mobility decreased to €285 million mainly driven by a lower interest margin (Q3 2023: €363 million). The interest margin was impacted by the interest rate development in a competitive environment. As a result, the adjusted return on equity (RoE) reached 8.9% (Q3 2023: 10.4%). 

Outlook

At Mercedes-Benz Cars full-year sales are seen slightly below 2023. Sales in Q4 are expected in the vicinity of Q3. Global Top-End Vehicle (TEV) sales in Q4 are seen with positive momentum supported by availability of the G-Class, the Mercedes-AMG E-Class, Mercedes-AMG GT and the SL. The share of BEV and plug-in hybrid vehicles (xEV’s) is seen between 18% to 19% in 2024. 
The guidance for the adjusted return on sales is seen at 7.5% to 8.5%. Mercedes-Benz Vans adjusted RoS is seen in the range between 14% and 15%. 
The adjusted return on equity for Mercedes-Benz Mobility is seen in the range of 8.5% to 9.5% for 2024. 
Group revenue is seen slightly below the prior year. As communicated on September 19th, Mercedes-Benz Group EBIT and Cash Flow are seen significantly below the prior-year level.

Mercedes-Benz GroupQ3 2024Q3 2023Change 24/23Q1-Q32024Q1-Q32023Change 24/23
Revenue* 34,52837,001-6.7%107,144112,414-4.7%
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)* 2,5174,842-48.0%10,41715,334-32.1%
Net profit/loss* 1,7193,719-53.8%7,80611,371-31.4%
Free Cash Flow industrial business (FCF)* 2,3942,347+2.0%6,2567,874-20.5%
Earnings per share (EPS) in EUR 1.813.44-47.5%7.6210.47-27.2%

*in millions of €

Mercedes-Benz CarsQ3 2024Q3 2023Change 24/23Q1-Q32024Q1-Q32023Change 24/23
Sales in units503,573510,564-1.4%1,463,2631,529,793-4.3%
– thereof xEV87,232102,292-14.7%267,372289,900-7.8%
– thereof BEV42,54461,621-31.0%135,908174,471-22,1%
Share of xEV in unit sales in %17.320.0–18.319.0–
Revenue*25,60227,131-5.6%78,48583,187-5.7%
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)*1,1983,312-63.8%6,41011,312-43.3%
Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)*1,2073,357-64.0%6,29311,282-44.2%
Adjusted return on sales (RoS) in %4.712.4-7.7%pts8.013.6-5.6%pts
Cash flow before interest and taxes (CFBIT)*2,4122,148+12.3%6,8658,898-22.8%
Adjusted cash conversion rate (CCR)2.00.7–1.10.8–

*in millions of €

Mercedes-Benz VansQ3 2024Q3 2023Change 24/23Q1-Q32024Q1-Q32023Change 24/23
Sales in units 91,063105,083-13.3%299,923323,473-7.3%
– thereof BEV4,3756,348-31.1%12,56414,972-16.1%
Share of BEV in unit sales in % 4.86.0–4.24.6–
Revenue* 4,6574,939-5.7%14,32414,677-2.4%
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)* 618715-13.6%2,3812,283+4.3%
Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) * 628743-15.5%2,2622,254+0.4%
Adjusted return on sales (RoS) in % 13.515.0-1.5%pts15.815.4+0.4%pts
Cash flow before interest and taxes (CFBIT)* 893980-8.9%2,1272,167-1.8%
Adjusted cash conversion rate1.51.4–1.01.0–

*in millions of €

Mercedes-Benz MobilityQ3 2024Q3 2023Change 24/23Q1-Q32024Q1-Q32023Change 24/23
Revenue* 6,0076,302-4.7%19,20918,931+1.5%
New business* 14,23515,183-6.2%43,08045,299-4.9%
Contract volume (September, 30)* 134,298133,840+0.3%134,298135,027**-0.5%
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)* 285363-21.5%8351,074-22.3%
Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) * 285363-21.5%8351,350-38.1%
Return on equity (RoE) in % 8.910.4-1.5%pts8.610.3-1.7%pts
Adjusted return on equity (RoE) in % 8.910.4-1.5%pts8.612.9-4.3%pts

*in millions of €
** Year-end figure 2023

TAGGED:Mercedes-Benz Group AGQ3 2024

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